ACR Messina vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 3
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MES
1 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
USF
3 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MES
0 - 2
BAR
20%
26%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 1
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USV
2 - 0
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
USV
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
USV
1 - 1
RPO
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
USV
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USV
1 - 4
TUR
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |