Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 0-1
ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MES
2 - 1
JS2
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SOR
2 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MES
3 - 1
ASD
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SSC
2 - 3
MES
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PIC
0 - 0
USF
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 2
USF
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
JS2
2 - 0
USF
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |