ACR Messina vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MES
1 - 0
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FIA
0 - 0
MES
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MES
1 - 0
LAT
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
MES
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MES
2 - 3
FCC
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
RPO
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 3
TUR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 0
TUR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
TUR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |