ACR Messina vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
UDI
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MES
0 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 0
JUV
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 93 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAG
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
REG
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |