ACR Messina vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
CAT
24%
28%
49%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 2
AKR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
TAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAT
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 0
TAR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |