ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
MES
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
USA
1 - 2
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
PRO
1 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |