ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MES
2 - 0
NAP
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 2
REG
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
SSS
59%
21%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SSS
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |