ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
VER
3 - 1
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NAP
5 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |