ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
CAG
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
SSS
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
SSS
1 - 5
TRI
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |