ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
MES
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
MES
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ASS
3 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
SSS
3 - 0
TAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 0
SSS
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SSS
1 - 1
USA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |