ACR Messina vs Sorrento analysis

ACR Messina Sorrento
56 ELO 54
-14.6% Tilt -11.5%
3481º General ELO ranking 3064º
114º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
40.8%
ACR Messina
28.1%
Draw
31.1%
Sorrento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
ACR Messina
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.2%
Win probability
Sorrento
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ACR Messina
-2%
-17%
Sorrento

Points and table prediction

ACR Messina
Their league position
Sorrento
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
18º
14º
48
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
ACR Messina
Sorrento
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ACR Messina
Sorrento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2024
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
57%
25%
18%
53 61 8 0
03 Feb. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
3 - 2
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
49%
27%
24%
53 50 3 0
27 Jan. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
43%
26%
31%
53 50 3 0
21 Jan. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
30%
29%
41%
52 59 7 +1
14 Jan. 2024
CAS
Casertana
0 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
61%
22%
17%
51 56 5 +1

Matches

Sorrento
Sorrento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2024
SOR
Sorrento
0 - 2
Picerno
PIC
27%
29%
44%
56 62 6 0
03 Feb. 2024
SOR
Sorrento
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
16%
23%
61%
56 66 10 0
29 Jan. 2024
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
56%
26%
18%
55 62 7 +1
21 Jan. 2024
SOR
Sorrento
2 - 1
Turris Neapolis
TUR
46%
26%
28%
55 51 4 0
14 Jan. 2024
AUD
Audace Cerignola
1 - 2
Sorrento
SOR
68%
20%
12%
54 62 8 +1