ACR Messina vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MES
4 - 2
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SOR
2 - 0
TUT
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
SOR
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
SOR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
SOR
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |