ACR Messina vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
49%
26%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MES
0 - 1
USF
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
MES
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
LEC
6%
18%
76%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
RAA
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 2
BEN
8%
18%
74%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
RAA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |