ACR Messina vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
APR
0 - 0
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
TUT
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ISC
1 - 1
MES
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
ISC
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
RAA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |