ACR Messina vs Sapri Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GSM
3 - 3
MES
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
FCR
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
28%
28%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
EBO
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 3
GSM
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 1
SPC
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 3
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |