ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
INT
16%
23%
60%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
UDI
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |