ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
COS
3 - 3
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 2
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SAM
3 - 2
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 2
TER
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |