ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
MAN
2 - 0
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
MES
1 - 2
ROM
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 0
LAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
INT
3 - 2
SAM
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |