ACR Messina vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
40%
28%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 2
MES
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
SMC
18%
21%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
6 - 0
ROC
71%
19%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
ROT
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |