ACR Messina vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 1
MES
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MDR
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 0
ACI
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
SSC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
HYR
1 - 0
ROC
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 2
PAL
5%
17%
78%
|
29 | 75 | 46 | 0 |