ACR Messina vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
SMC
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
DAT
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASD
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
DAT
2 - 1
REN
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
REN
3 - 1
LUC
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 2
REN
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
PAT
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |