ACR Messina vs Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NUO
3 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MES
4 - 1
LIC
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
ASD
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RAG
1 - 2
LIC
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 3
RAG
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RAG
1 - 1
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 1
RAG
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RAG
0 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |