ACR Messina vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
PAG
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TUR
5 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
FIA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PIC
0 - 1
TUR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PIC
1 - 0
USV
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
2 - 0
PIC
33%
29%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PIC
5 - 3
PAG
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 3
PIC
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |