ACR Messina vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 1
MES
37%
28%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PES
2 - 2
SAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 0
PES
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PES
2 - 1
TOR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PES
0 - 0
FIO
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |