ACR Messina vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAG
4 - 4
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUS
2 - 3
MES
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 3
MES
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
MDR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
MES
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAT
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 1
PIC
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
MON
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 3
PAL
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |