ACR Messina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TUR
5 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
FIA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 0
MES
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 1
TUR
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PIC
5 - 3
PAG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAG
3 - 1
JUS
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAG
81%
15%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |