ACR Messina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
USF
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
MES
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |