ACR Messina vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MES
3 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
CIT
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
BAR
8%
21%
71%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 3
NOC
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 0
NOC
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NOC
3 - 3
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NOC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |