ACR Messina vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MES
2 - 0
RPO
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
MES
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MES
1 - 1
USF
19%
24%
56%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 2
MES
79%
15%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
USF
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BAR
24%
28%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PIC
3 - 0
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
TUR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |