ACR Messina vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
CAT
24%
28%
49%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
JUS
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FIA
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FON
1 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
REG
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SIR
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |