ACR Messina vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 2
MES
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
MES
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
TUR
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NIS
1 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRA
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PUT
2 - 1
MOD
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |