ACR Messina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
6 - 2
MES
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
FRO
4 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 2
RIM
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
MOD
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |