ACR Messina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
37%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 0
ANC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 3
MOD
33%
29%
39%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |