ACR Messina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MDR
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
ACI
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 3
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
ACI
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
SSC
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
HYR
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |