ACR Messina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
NUV
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
MES
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
MES
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
ACI
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIS
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASD
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |