Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-2
ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
EMP
2 - 0
MES
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
TER
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MES
0 - 0
VIC
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
MES
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
PIA
1 - 2
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |