ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 1
MES
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MES
0 - 3
EMP
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
LAZ
11%
22%
67%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 0
REN
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 38 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 4
LAZ
25%
27%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |