ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 1
MES
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LAZ
5 - 0
UDI
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 1
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LAZ
0 - 0
REG
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 0
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |