Lega Pro Relegation Play-offs Final
Global 1-1
ACR Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
MES
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MES
1 - 0
JUS
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PIC
0 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MES
0 - 1
USF
18%
23%
58%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
MES
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
GEL
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 2
CRO
7%
18%
76%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
GEL
52%
27%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |