ACR Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MES
2 - 1
ACI
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
BIA
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GEL
1 - 1
CSA
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
GEL
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
GEL
47%
22%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GEL
3 - 2
SMC
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |