ACR Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
CCI
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NOC
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MES
3 - 0
ISO
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 0
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
GEL
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
ACI
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |