ACR Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
USV
0 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
21%
24%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MES
4 - 2
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 0
MES
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GEL
2 - 0
LIC
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
GEL
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |