ACR Messina vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MES
4 - 0
RAA
67%
20%
12%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 0
USF
18%
22%
59%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 1
GAV
81%
14%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 3
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |