ACR Messina vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 3
MES
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MES
0 - 5
USV
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
ACI
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FCI
3 - 0
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
4 - 2
FCI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCI
4 - 0
CCI
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ACI
1 - 0
FCI
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |