ACR Messina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PES
0 - 3
MES
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 2
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GIU
1 - 1
MES
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 1
VIC
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 0
PES
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CRO
0 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |