ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis

ACR Messina Catanzaro
48 ELO 69
-7.6% Tilt -5.8%
3418º General ELO ranking 251º
114º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
9.9%
ACR Messina
22.4%
Draw
67.6%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.4%
67.6%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

ACR Messina
Their league position
Catanzaro
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
20º
17º
97
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
ACR Messina
Catanzaro
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ACR Messina
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
23%
26%
50%
46 58 12 0
15 Jan. 2023
VIT
Viterbese
1 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
57%
23%
20%
45 49 4 +1
07 Jan. 2023
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
26%
26%
48%
43 51 8 +2
23 Dec. 2022
CRO
Crotone
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
83%
13%
4%
43 66 23 0
18 Dec. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 2
Taranto
TAR
31%
26%
43%
44 50 6 -1

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 0
Audace Cerignola
AUD
70%
19%
11%
68 55 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
LAT
Latina
0 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
11%
24%
65%
68 51 17 0
07 Jan. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
77%
16%
7%
68 50 18 0
23 Dec. 2022
PIC
Picerno
0 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
18%
26%
57%
68 54 14 0
18 Dec. 2022
FCC
Catanzaro
6 - 1
Potenza Calcio
RPO
74%
17%
8%
67 52 15 +1