ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
MES
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 0
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
FIO
2 - 1
FCC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 2
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
LEC
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
MAN
6 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |