ACR Messina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MES
4 - 1
ABN
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MES
3 - 1
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 1
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
VNZ
3 - 1
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |