ACR Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
CSA
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
MES
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
LIC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MES
6 - 0
ASD
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REN
3 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 0
CCI
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CCI
1 - 1
PAT
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 2
CCI
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CCI
1 - 5
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CIT
3 - 1
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |