ACR Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NOC
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MES
3 - 0
ISO
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PPI
1 - 2
MES
13%
20%
68%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 0
CCI
67%
18%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ACP
0 - 0
CCI
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCI
5 - 0
ACI
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CCI
3 - 1
GEL
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |